Keywords
ARDL
Climate change
Rice Yield
Tamil Nadu
How to Cite
Abstract
Climate change is one of the most pressing issues nearly all nations face, particularly those in developing and underdeveloped stages. Agriculture is the most vulnerable sector due to its direct and indirect dependence on climatic factors. This study investigates the impact of climate change on rice productivity in Tamil Nadu, spanning from 1990-91 to 2022-23, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model. The bounds test reveals that minimum temperature, maximum temperature, and rainfall exhibit a long-term cointegration relationship with rice productivity. The bound test result indicates that there exists a cointegration among the climatic variables and rice yield. The adjusted R-squared value of 0.4943 indicates that approximately 49.43 per cent of the variation in the rice yield is explained by the climate factors used in the model. The study provides valuable insights for policymakers to understand the impact of climate change on the agriculture sector, particularly rice production, and supports the development of effective climate mitigation policies.
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